Perspectives on North Shore Chicago's
Real Estate Market

The Home Buyer Tax Credit Expires Today – Now What?

CNBC’s Diana Olick talked to Mark Zandi of Moodys Economy.com and Thomas Lawler of Lawler Economics/Housing Consulting about how today’s expiration of the tax credit will impact the housing market.

Watch the video below for the full story, but here’s the bottom line:

The tax credit pulled forward sales that would have happened anyway, and got them to happen faster. That means we will see a slowdown in buying activity for the next 2-3 months.

We will likely see some more modest price declines this year due to the high number of distressed properties and the end of credit-easing measures by the Fed. As a result, the housing market won’t really get going again until 2011.

Two things will accelerate a return to “normalcy” in the housing market:

  • A pick-up in job growth.
  • Continued low rate of housing starts, so that we can work through the over-supply of homes on the market.

Leave a Reply